Showing posts with label Goldman Sachs. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Goldman Sachs. Show all posts

Monday, 18 April 2011

Goldman Sachs, The Sulking Boy

Power makes you do silly things. What, you did not include Goldman Sachs in your mega-IPO?? What a travesty! I will teach you all a lesson then. We are Goldman Sachs, we can make or break you, just you watch, don't you know we get a slice of all major deals globally or were you born yesterday. We can even get our government to bailout the very companies who then graciously promptly pay us back with the bailout funds.

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Goldman Sachs, which ranks first in managing global share sales this year, is sulking after it didn't get an invitation to Glencore's coming-out party.

The giant Switzerland-based commodities trader is set for a dual listing in Hong Kong and London and may raise as much as US$12.1 billion (HK$94.38 billion). But Goldman is the only one of Wall Street's big investment banks not to be included in the syndicate of nine handling the float. The syndicate is expected to share in a large cake - US$300 million in fees. Goldman was left out because Glencore's board felt there was "no need" to involve it.

So, what did Goldman Sach do ... Goldman said last week that the risks of investing in commodities outweigh potential gains, dropping its recommendation to buy a basket of raw materials including crude oil, copper, cotton and platinum.

"Sell oil, cotton, copper, soybeans and platinum!" urged the commodities oracles at Goldman Sachs, in a surprise note last week.




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Well, do you know why Goldman Sachs was left out? I guessed its because Glencore is a huge commodities trading outfit, and Goldman Sachs is also the world's biggest trading unit in everything, including wayward human souls. I am sure they have crossed swords many times in the past, loading big, unloading big positions and is bound to ruffle each other's gilded gold feathers. You fuck me every now and then as a trading competitor, and now you want a share of my US$300m fees in my IPO, go fly your own kite Goldman.

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Thursday, 10 June 2010

Basis Capital Fund, A Drunk Without A Cabfare To Go Home

You are a hedge fund manager, you have stewed in the hotpot of greed, filth and slime for years, you should understand that you can never trust your brokers, you know very well the ethics in the industry is at the same level as the acceptability of eating cats & dogs, you know these are not publicly traded instruments and are bound to be mis-priced with a great range for volatility, you should realise that you can be screwed in the deal as much as you were intending to screw the other party, no one bribed you to do the deal, in the end you buggers were just not very good ... were you

michelle chia Michelle Chia and Shaun Chen Married

* Settlement talks between Basis fund and Goldman heat up

* Basis claims it was misled on Timberwolf CDO

* Basis invested in deal in June 2007 (Attention language in paragraphs 19-20 that may offend some readers)

NEW YORK, May 18 (Reuters) - An Australian hedge fund's former independent director has been complaining to U.S. regulators for more than two years about how Goldman Sachs Group contributed to the fund's collapse by selling it a toxic mortgage-linked security.

Now, in the wake of a recent U.S. Senate hearing on Goldman's role in the U.S. mortgage mess, during which the security -- called Timberwolf -- was repeatedly singled out by lawmakers as a particularly egregious transaction, David Mapley said he's finally getting a measure of satisfaction.

But Mapley, a former independent director for the Basis Yield Alpha Fund, said what he really wants is for Goldman to give back the $100 million the Basis Capital fund and its investors sank into the Timberwolf collateralized debt obligation.

There are signs the persistence of Mapley and others connected to the defunct Australian hedge fund may be about to pay off.

A Washington, D.C., law firm that represents the Basis fund is negotiating with Goldman over a possible settlement to the hedge fund's $100 million claim, people familiar with the situation said.

The fund's representatives initially hired Washington's Baach Robinson & Lewis more than a year ago to look into suing Goldman over the Timberwolf deal. The law firm did work on a draft complaint, but a lawsuit was never filed for reasons that remain unclear.

'BEYOND THE NORM'

Mapley, who resides in Switzerland but also has homes in the Cayman Islands and the United States, said he met with lawyers from Baach Robinson when he was still serving as one of the fund's independent directors and urged them to sue Goldman.

He stepped down from the fund's board last summer and hasn't been involved in any settlement talks with the investment bank.

"We found this aggressive behavior by Goldman," said Mapley, who still serves an independent director for a number of other offshore hedge funds. "We started uncovering certain practices that were beyond the norm."

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The Basis fund's main contention is that the fund's managers were misled by Goldman when it purchased two $50 million tranches of Timberwolf, a $1 billion CDO that Goldman took to market in March 2007, according to Mapley and other people familiar with the situation.

The Basis fund sank money into Timberwolf in June 2007, after the one-time $500 million fund claims it got assurances from Goldman's mortgage trading desk that the market for CDOs had stabilized after falling sharply.

In fact, the hedge fund initially passed up an opportunity to invest in Timberwolf in April 2007 because Basis' managers were concerned about the health of the CDO market.

Mapley said he has been told Goldman sold the Timberwolf securities to the hedge fund at a significantly higher price than what similar mortgage-linked securities were selling for at the time. Basis' managers were not aware that Goldman's mortgage trading desk was actively shorting CDOs and other subprime mortgage-linked securities at the time of the Timberwolf deal, he said.

Michael Duvally, a Goldman spokesman, said, "Basis advertised itself as a highly experienced, professional CDO manager and investor." He added that the hedge fund "had access to the same information regarding the underlying portfolio as Goldman Sachs."

DEAL'S NOTORIETY

Mapley, however, said he found Goldman's conduct in marketing and selling Timberwolf so disturbing that he contacted the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission about the deal in December 2007. He subsequently sat down with SEC lawyers several times in early 2008 to discuss the transaction, which he said securities regulators were already looking into.

In light of the SEC's early interest in Timberwolf, Mapley said he was surprised the commission's civil fraud claim against Goldman focused on another CDO -- Abacus 2007.

"When I saw the SEC action against Goldman I thought it was going to be Timberwolf," he said.

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An SEC spokesman declined to comment on whether its lawyer met with Mapley and if regulators are looking into the Timberwolf transaction.

However, the Timberwolf deal drew considerable notoriety during last month's hearing by the Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigation when lawmakers revealed that a former Goldman executive had described the transaction as "one shitty deal" in an internal Goldman email.

Former Goldman mortgage executive Thomas Montag, who now works for Bank of America, penned that "shitty deal" email on June 22, 2007. A week earlier, Basis invested in the Timberwolf deal by plunking down about $11 million in cash and financing the rest of the transaction with a margin loan from Goldman.

The Timberwolf deal, which referenced a pool of other subprime-backed CDOs, quickly soured. By the end of August, the deal had lost 80 percent of its value and the CDO was liquidated in June 2008.

In buying Timberwolf on margin, Basis agreed to let Goldman re-price the value of the securities as it saw fit. And within weeks of closing the transaction, Goldman began marking down the securities and demanding cash collateral from Basis.

In August 2007, the hedge fund told its investors it was planning to liquidate. Basis contends the liquidation was prompted in part by the demands for collateral payments by Goldman, said people familiar with the hedge fund and information reviewed by Reuters.

TOKIO MARINE ROLE

Basis was not the only hedge fund that purchased Timberwolf securities and went belly-up in summer 2007.

The single biggest buyer of Timberwolf securities was the once giant Bear Stearns group of hedge funds, which invested $300 million in the CDO. The Bear funds, which once controlled nearly $30 billion of CDOs and other subprime mortgage-linked securities, imploded in June 2007 after the funds could not meet a series of margin calls from a dozen Wall Street lenders, including Goldman.

Another buyer of Timberwolf securities was a division of Tokio Marine Holding Inc, one of Japan's largest property and casualty insurers, said people familiar with the Timberwolf deal. The insurer did not return phone calls seeking comment.

Basis for claim?

The rather ambitious attempt by Australian hedge fund Basis Yield Alpha Fund to win more than $US1 billion in damages from Goldman Sachs over the $US56 million it lost investing in a portfolio of 'toxic' sub-prime mortgage securities promoted by the bank will, if it fully runs its course through the courts, help provide a better understanding of the limitations of the caveat emptor principle.

Basis, described by Goldman as one of the world’s most experienced investors in collateralised debt obligations, was forced into insolvency in 2007 after failing to meet a series of margin calls made by Goldman.

Two and a half weeks before that happened, Basis had invested in the now notorious Timberwolf CDO product – securities described famously by a senior Goldman executive involved at the time as "one shitty deal." At the time Goldman was promoting Timberwolf, its house view was that the sub-prime market was likely to become distressed and it held a net short position against that market.

The Basis case appears to have grown out of the Securities and Exchange Commission’s civil action against Goldman, in relation to a similar transaction in which it sold a synthetic CDO developed in conjunction with hedge fund Paulson & Co to a German bank without telling the CDO manager or the bank that Paulson – which was on the "short" side if the transaction – had a role in choosing the underlying securities in the portfolio. Goldman and the SEC have been in negotiations for a settlement of that action.

Both cases raise the issue of the extent to which sophisticated institutional investors are responsible for their own investment decisions and the due diligence associated with them. The corollary to that question is the extent to which promoters of a product offered to a sophisticated investor have a duty to fully explain the nature of the risks involved and express their own opinion of the product and the securities and market conditions underlying it.

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In its statement of claim, filed in the US courts, Basis says it would never have invested in Timberwolf had it know Goldman played a significant role in the collateral selection process. It says Goldman’s knowledge of the market and price for Timberwolf was superior to its own and, because Timberwolf and similar CDOs were not publicly traded and were illiquid, it had little ability to obtain information about prevailing prices in the sector and, in particular, the pricing of the securities in Timberwolf.

It says that, at the time, it was reluctant to purchase an interest in Timberwolf because of its concerns about the CDO market, but sought assurance from Goldman that the price being offered (it bought securities with a face value of $US100 million for $US80 million) was good in the existing market and that the market for that type of security was stable. It is self-evident that it relied upon those assurances, to its detriment.

Goldman itself says that, in entering the transaction, Basis specifically stated that it would place no reliance on Goldman – and signed off on that statement.

If Basis were a "mum and dad" retail investor, Goldman would no doubt be in strife. But it wasn’t. It was an experienced hedge fund managed by very experienced market professionals.

In its own product disclosure statements, Basis described its investment process to prospective clients. Its first step was to identify miss-priced securities. The second was to research the opportunity and analyse perceived up-side and the potential down-side. The third was for the investment team to review the risk/reward attributes.

The disclosure went on to say that the Basis process started with a search for "compelling" opportunities, using "detailed models" maintained by the group to look at each security based on macro and micro factors considered relevant to making an informed investment decision, drawing heavily on the "extensive experience" of the investment team.

With all its sophistication, experience, process and technology – and its own reservations about the sub-prime market and its understanding of what was occurring within it – Basis, a leveraged investor, invested in a leveraged product exposed to that market… because Goldman said it was a good idea!

One wonders how Basis' own investors would feel about that insight into the level of due diligence taken before investing their funds.

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If Goldman had an obligation (as much of the US discussion of the bank’s dealings would suggest) to disclose more information about the products it was offering and its own dealings in those and similar products to substantial and supposedly sophisticated professional investment institutions – institutions charging their own clients for their expertise – what obligations did the buyers of the products have to properly inform themselves of the nature and value of what they were buying?

If the case lasts the distance, we may find out where the balance of obligations lies and whether the caveat emptor principle still applies to deals between sophisticated consenting adults.

Sunday, 25 April 2010

Goldman Sachs & God

In financial markets, Goldman Sachs is like a god. Goldman Sachs was about the only big investment bank that did well during the subprime financial crisis, JP Morgan did OK as well. But both went about doing alright in very different ways. Now people are complaining that Goldman Sachs cooperated (conspired?) with a hedge fund hustler in John Paulson (maverick or genius depending on whom you are talking to) to assemble and sell "synthetic collateralized debt obligations" that everyone involved, except maybe the purchasers knew would probably fail. The hedge fund hotshot made $1 billion.



I think Goldman Sachs did what a great investment bank should have done anyway. If you are smarter than the rest, you do the smart thing. Its a for profit entity, Goldman Sachs made most of its money by trading anyway, not by marrying trades.

Goldman Sachs is a convenient pinyata for those wanting to point out and punish those who behaved unethically and profited from the crisis. What GS did was not illegal but probably unethical. The basis for saying that is that most of the buyers of synthetic CDOs did not know the full extent of what they were buying - or did they? You don't go around buying billions of that stuff and then claim that you don't know what you were buying!!?? So what if GS knew that it was probably a bad trade for those who bought the CDOs. If you bought IOI Corp via GS, and then 6 months later IOI fell by 50%, is GS culpable?

GS, John Paulson, Steve Eisman, Mike Burry and the others in the brilliant new Michael Lewis book, The Big Short, basically got the right read on the subprime markets. Its never ethical to make money when you are short the markets, you can try to justify it but its not ethical. Its a profitable bet, its a calculated bet, its a knowledge bet, you are betting that the majority of the markets are wrong. In any crisis, its the majority who will suffer.

If you read The Big Short, you will fully understand how little GS and John Paulson knew of what they were doing. Those who were really the geniuses were people like Mike Burry and Steve Eisman, who were vilified and laughed at for a couple of years when they tried to short the subprime markets.

Dimon steered JP Morgan away from the subprime market early enough with an edict to his employees not to touch the stuff, but JP Morgan did not make bets against the subprime market. But then again, JP Morgan is not a big player in proprietary trading.

What was stupid was the GS CEO Blankfein saying that they are doing God's work. Just run GS as what we all know it is, a devil's playground where money is God. You do not need to make excuses on how you made money as no one expects you to be saintly or even ethical (really). Those who now trumps the word "ethical" as an absolute requirement for the character of the firm are deluding themselves. Ethics are just classes you take for GS to appease the lawmakers. It will never be allowed to conflict with money making motives. In fact, if you read The Big Short, you will know that GS was just like Bears Stearns, Citigroup and Merrill Lynch, holding the stuff on their books. It wasn't till late into 2006 that someone wised up at GS and said this was pretty stupid stuff if more than 7% of the loans defaulted - they actually went to 30% default rate in the end. Thats a risk they measured and a risk they acknowledged, the rest of the investment banks and AIG never put into their model that property prices could stop rising or that defaults could ever be higher than 3%.

If fact, if the subprime crisis imploded 6 months earlier, GS would have lost billions just like the rest. I guess, that is what people want, to have GS suffer alongside with all of them. Do any of those who shorted subprime (John Paulson, Mike Burry, Steve Eisman, GS, etc.) really have an edge - no, they just figured it was a better bet to go the other way. No one will know for sure that their bets will turn out exactly the way they wanted. We all buy and sell stocks with the information we have and the big picture beliefs that we hold. Some will be better at it but it does not mean they will be right. Just because they better correctly in a big way, is that a crime? Just be better consumers, be better investors - the only thing was that were some people DUPED, like in a Ponzi scheme? GS is not big enough to do that, and if you read the still excellent book The Big Short, you will know that GS was probably a bit lucky.

Can you really put in ethics into the mantra of an investment bank? Seriously folks, ... its a nice to have, but its never going to happen in reality. Should it be something we should work towards to, yes, by all means ... are we going to get there, I seriously doubt it, not when the people are paid by how much they bring into the bank and not by whether they had been ethical. Can we penalise them, probably, but will it be big and hurting enough to bring about a change in behaviour? I doubt that, not when people are making hundreds of thousands a year in bonuses or more.



Sydney Morning Herald, April 26, 2010
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AS THE mortgage crisis in the United States gained momentum and many banks were suffering losses, Goldman Sachs executives traded email messages saying they would make ''some serious money'' betting against the housing markets.

The messages, released on Saturday by the US Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations, appear to contradict statements by Goldman that left the impression the firm lost money on mortgage-related investments.

In the messages, Lloyd Blankfein, the bank's chief executive, acknowledged in November 2007 that it had lost money initially. But it later recovered by making negative bets, known as short positions, to profit as housing prices plummeted. ''Of course we didn't dodge the mortgage mess,'' he wrote. ''We lost money, then made more than we lost because of shorts.''

In another message, dated July 25, 2007, David Viniar, Goldman's chief financial officer, reacted to figures that said the company had made a $US51 million profit from bets that housing securities would drop in value. ''Tells you what might be happening to people who don't have the big short,'' he wrote to Gary Cohn, now Goldman's president.

On Saturday Goldman denied it had made a significant profit on mortgage-related products in 2007 and 2008. It said the committee had ''cherry-picked'' email messages from the nearly 20 million pages of documents it provided.

This sets up a showdown between the committee and Goldman, which has aggressively defended itself since the Securities and Exchange Commission filed a security fraud complaint against it nine days ago. Tomorrow seven current and former Goldman employees, including Mr Blankfein, are expected to testify at a congressional hearing.

Carl Levin, head of the committee, said the email messages contrasted with Goldman's public statements about its trading results.

''The 2009 Goldman Sachs annual report stated that the firm 'did not generate enormous net revenues by betting against residential related products','' Senator Levin said. ''These emails show that, in fact, Goldman made a lot of money by betting against the mortgage market.''

On October 11, 2007, a Goldman executive, Donald Mullen, predicted a windfall because credit-rating companies had downgraded mortgage-related investments, which caused losses for investors.

''Sounds like we will make some serious money,'' Mr Mullen wrote, and received the response, ''Yes we are well positioned.''

Documents released by the committee appear to indicate that in July 2007 Goldman's accounting showed losses of $US322 million on positive mortgage positions, but its negative bet - what Mr Viniar called ''the big short'' - brought in $US373 million.

Messages from as early as 2006 show Goldman executives discussing ways to get rid of the firm's positive mortgage positions by selling them to clients. In one, Mr Viniar wrote: ''Let's be aggressive distributing things.''

On December 14, 2006, he called Goldman's mortgage traders and risk managers to a meeting and concluded they would reduce overall exposure to the subprime mortgage market. This was largely done by making bets against the market to cancel out bets it had placed that the market would rebound. A day after the meeting Mr Viniar wrote to Tom Montan, co-head of the securities division, saying, ''There will be very good opportunities as the market goes into what is likely to be even greater distress and we want to be in position to take advantage of them.''

This typified exchanges on whether to continue to neutralise Goldman's exposure to subprime mortgages or expand investment in them well into 2007. By November 30, 2007, Goldman had largely cancelled out its exposure to subprime mortgages by increasing its bets that the market would continue to slide, according to the document.

Goldman also released statements for its mortgage trading unit which showed traders in what was known as the structured products group made a profit of $US3.69 billion as of October 26, 2007, more than covering losses in other parts of its mortgage unit.

Several traders from that group will testify tomorrow and their profitable short positions are likely to be of interest to the committee.

Sunday, 18 April 2010

Looking For Mr Goodreason

Markets are dwindling not because of the Goldman Sachs issue. The markets were all waiting for a good reason to correct, they certainly found it in the Goldman Sach case, plus in itself will drag down financials, which makes up most of the gains in US markets. Its likely to be localised in the US, which will not hamper financials in other markets, but once the tide has turned, better to wait for a proper rally rather than to hope and pray that suddenly things will turn very bullish overnight. Ties in well with Sell In May & Go Away mantra.

Goldman Sachs is facing fraud charges for the first time in its history as a public company, setting the stage for the Wall Street powerhouse's biggest-ever showdown with the US government.

On Friday, the US Securities and Exchange Commission charged Goldman with hiding from investors the involvement of a prominent hedge fund manager in helping it structure a subprime mortgage debt product that he was betting against.

The incipient swoon in the synthetic collateralised debt obligation - created as a way for hedge fund manager John Paulson to bet against the housing market - cost investors more than $US1 billion ($1.1 billion), according to the SEC complaint.

Goldman vowed to vigorously defend itself against the charges and denied that it had structured a portfolio that was designed to lose money, claiming that the firm itself invested in the equity portion of the deal.

The news sent Goldman's shares tumbling and cast a shadow over the dominant Wall Street firm.

The charges follow a very profitable 15-month stretch for Goldman in the aftermath of the financial crisis. But the bank's prosperity during a period of wider economic pain has come at a cost: rising public anger over gold-plated bonuses even as the firm benefited from government rescue programs.

The charges filed against Goldman could take months or even years to be resolved. But here are some possible outcomes:

A quick resolution

Goldman may look for a quick resolution to its SEC problems.

A settlement within a few months, even one which could cost Goldman hundreds of millions of dollars, would be one way for Goldman to try to move on quickly and seek to avoid long-term damage to its brand.

Even if the firm seeks such a settlement, the authorities may not want to risk it given how much of a political hot potato Goldman has become. All parties will also be fully aware that a judge rejected an initial settlement between the SEC and Bank of America over the disclosure of bonuses paid in the bank's takeover of Merrill Lynch.

And, this will not prevent the potential for lawsuits from clients who feel they have suffered losses because of Goldman's actions.

Goldman fights and wins

Such vindication would likely take many months and probably years - and wouldn't be without damage to Goldman, its management and its brand. Media scrutiny would be even more intense over this period.

In a sign of trouble to come, British Prime Minister Gordon Brown on Sunday said he wanted Britain's financial watchdog to investigate Goldman, while in Germany, a government spokesman said its regulator would also seek information.

Goldman would not only face a big legal bill, and additional compliance costs as it sought to prevent any other problems from surfacing, but it might also impose more restrictions on its bankers and traders, which could reduce making money.

Jesse Derris, a crisis communications consultant with Sunshine, Sachs & Associates, said the charges are already "incredibly damaging."

"To me, it doesn't feel like a PR problem anymore," said Derris, who represents John Thain, a former Goldman executive and former Merrill Lynch chief executive whose stewardship of the firm during the financial crisis drew widespread criticism. Thain is now CEO of CIT Group, a commercial lender that recently emerged from bankruptcy.

"There is a structural problem that has led many people, including some in government, to think they weren't just actively trying to make money, but they were trying to do it on the backs of regular people who were invested in pension funds. You can't have much worse imagery."

Fighting a long battle could also expose Goldman to a greater extent to lawsuits from investors who feel they were wronged. It will create a public record of its transactions that could help would-be plaintiffs.

Goldman fights and loses

The worst case scenario is that Goldman fights the authorities, and investigators discover more problem transactions and charge more executives. Lawsuits from clients pile up and get very expensive to settle or fight. And while criminal charges are seen as unlikely they cannot be completely discounted.

In these circumstances, some question whether Goldman will be permanently damaged and lose a lot of its power and status, especially if it faces a major exodus of clients worried about the reputation questions.

Most think this unlikely but it can't be discounted.

"The $US64 million question would be is there some sort of unraveling of Goldman that will be coming down the pike, and I'd rather doubt it," said Joseph Battipaglia, a market strategist with Stifel Nicolaus.

Under the worst case, the future of CEO Lloyd Blankfein and other top executives would be in doubt. Veteran banking analyst Richard Bove, of Rochdale Securities, said on Friday that the charges could lead to Blankfein's resignation.

"People wonder how Goldman was able to make as much money in trading as they did at a time when nobody else was doing anything and maybe this is a reason why," said Malcolm Polley, chief investment officer, Stewart Capital Advisors. "How widespread this is, time will tell. If the SEC has brought charges on one instance my guess is it will open a can of worms."

Wider implications

The impact goes well beyond just Goldman - here are some of the implications for Wall Street as a whole and the broader financial markets:

- Advocates of tougher Wall Street regulations are already citing the Goldman fraud allegations to bolster their case for tighter oversight of derivatives and other financial products.

"That's the question," said Jason Tyler, senior vice president and part of the investment committee at Ariel Capital Management. "Will this fuel a fire and get a more aggressive form of financial reform in Washington? The timing of this works out well to get some legislation done ... it gives (lawmakers) another arrow in the quiver.

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- Goldman could be just the first Wall Street player to be targeted in what could become a much larger investigation.

SEC investigators may see the Goldman case as a shot at redemption after they missed the boat on Ponzi-schemer Bernard Madoff and alleged swindler Allen Stamford. Indeed it hardly seemed like a coincidence that the Goldman charges were filed hours before - and largely overshadowed - a government watchdog's report excoriating the agency for failing to go after Stamford years earlier.

A resurgent SEC eager to restore its credibility could prove a major risk for Goldman and the rest of Wall Street in the coming months.

"The SEC is on the hotseat," plaintiffs Lawyer Jacob Zamansky said. "They missed Madoff ... It's a big moment for the SEC to see if they can stand up to Goldman Sachs and the best lawyers and experts on Wall Street."

Reuters


p/s photos: Jessica C (of Wacoal fame)